Gold at a Critical Liquidity Turning Point: Will Sellers Maintain Control or Will Buyers Trigger a Reversal? | XAUUSD M30 Analysis July 2025
The current XAUUSD 30-minute chart shows gold trading at $3334.86, consolidating just beneath a prominent sell-side liquidity cluster. This setup aligns perfectly with the Takeover & Relinquish & Exhaustion Indicator Strategy, highlighting clear zones of supply and demand.
Key Technical Levels:
- Relinquish (Sell) Zones:
- 00 – 3355.00: This red rectangle zone has consistently absorbed buying attempts, signalling strong supply and exhaustion of bullish momentum. Price repeatedly failed to sustain above this area, confirming active seller presence.
- 00 – 3375.00: If gold breaks above the first resistance, this upper band represents a secondary, high-impact sell zone where sellers are expected to reassert control.
- Takeover (Buy) Zones:
- 00 – 3310.00: Marked by green rectangles, this is the first significant demand area where buyers have previously intervened, making it a logical spot for a potential rebound.
- 00 – 3272.00: A deeper liquidity pocket, historically supporting strong buyer accumulation and offering a high-probability reversal area if the downtrend extends.
Exhaustion Indicators:
- Price action shows clear signs of exhaustion at the lower edge of the red zone, as repeated attempts to break higher have failed.
- The green rectangles below the current price highlight areas where downward momentum may stall and buyers could regain strength.
Scenario Outlook:
- As long as gold remains below 3355, the bias favours sellers, with targets at 3320 and, if broken, 3295.
- A decisive breakout above 3355 could trigger a move towards 3365–3375, where new relinquish signals are likely to emerge.
- A break below 3310 would confirm bearish dominance, targeting the 3295–3272 takeover zone for possible accumulation.
Risk Management:
- For active sell scenarios, stop-loss should be placed above 3361.
- For buy scenarios from 3295–3272, stops should be set below 3265.
This analysis is strictly based on the Takeover & Relinquish & Exhaustion Indicator Strategy, focusing on liquidity dynamics and exhaustion signals, not random price action.
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